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collective Meme Coin Risk Analysis & Trade Setup
Saved analysis: . The findings below describe evidence recorded at that time, not live market conditions.
Historical analysis snapshot. This report is more than six hours old. This snapshot is not a current buy or sell signal. Trade decisions, prices, levels and sellability may have changed. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
Exact Solana mint: 9AyNQokuketZTuBbsHX6n6QgrsrMQRxVMBCZpcJwpump
collective Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary
Overall Health Score: collective has an Overall Health Score of 22 out of 100.
Rug Risk Rating: collective has a low Rug Risk Rating. This reflects collected on-chain evidence and is not a safety guarantee.
collective Rug-Pull Risk Analysis
- Whale and big-wallet sellers account for ~94.5% of sell volume over the 7.7-hour observable window, with net sell volume of -197M tokens. Sells outnumber buys 3:2 by count and the 1-hour window shows 59 sells vs 17 buys, indicating accelerating distribution rather than stabilisation.
- The rank-2 wallet (E7hLY…ygW, owner [redacted wallet]) holds 19.6% of supply — roughly $4.3K at current price — with zero historical activity visible, making intent opaque. A single exit attempt from this wallet would drain the $14.1K liquidity pool by ~30%, collapsing price.
- At ~0.4 days old, every signal is a snapshot with no durability evidence. All nine accumulating whales have held for fewer than 9 hours, which provides no meaningful signal about conviction or stickiness.
collective Risk and Health Signals
- Both mintAuthorityActive and freezeAuthorityActive are false with null authority addresses, eliminating the risk of supply inflation or wallet freezing by any party.
- The identified dev address ([redacted wallet]) holds 0% of supply and shows zero sell activity over all observable periods, meaning there is no active dev dump in progress.
- All nine tracked top whales show positive token balance changes, but all have held for fewer than 9 hours, making this 'accumulation' indistinguishable from initial buy-in by fresh wallets; stickiness is entirely unproven.
collective Holder Distribution
Holder concentration: The top 10 non-pool holders control 34.1% of supply.
Is collective Safe?
- Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
- Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
- Copycat check: no match detected.
- Sellability check: a sell route was observed.
- Smart-money check: no tracked participation was observed.
collective Trade Setup, Entry Levels and Targets
Support and resistance context: 1 support area and 2 resistance areas were identified from 15m market candles; nearest support: 0.000021881325799244797; nearest resistance: 0.00002266045321069436; Levels derived from 40 15m candles (~10 hours) of pool price history via swing-point clustering. History is too short for repeated-touch levels; some levels are derived from volume-profile nodes and the window high/low (lower confidence, untested). Heuristic zones, not trading advice..
collective Price and Market Data
Assessment: Collective (collective) is an ultra-fresh PumpSwap graduation token less than 10 hours old with a $22K market cap and $14.1K DEX liquidity — far too young to assess long-term durability. The largest non-pool wallet ([redacted wallet], rank-2 E7hLY…ygW) holds 19.6% of supply with zero observable change over all periods; intent remains unknown, but this single wallet represents an outsized exit-risk overhang at this market cap. Mint and freeze authorities are both inactive, which removes two structural attack vectors. However, sell pressure is severe: whale and big-wallet sellers account for ~94% of sell volume over the observable window, sells outnumber buys 3.6:1 on trade count over 7.7 hours, and price is already -43.8% on the 24h period. Liquidity at 64% of market cap provides reasonable depth relative to cap, but with a single wallet holding ~20% of supply and ~$4.4K equivalent, exits for that holder would be catastrophic for price. This token is in an acute distribution phase and is too young to judge whether any floor has formed.
Reason: Severe and accelerating sell pressure from whale and large-wallet holders, a 19.6% supply overhang from an unidentified wallet, and a worsening decentralisation trend on a sub-10-hour-old token with $14K of thin liquidity make current participation indefensible.
Report limitations
- This automated snapshot can be wrong, incomplete, or become outdated as on-chain and market conditions change.
- It is informational analysis, not financial advice or a guarantee that the token is safe.
Read the MemeAssist methodology for evidence sources, scoring and known constraints.
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