CTO Meme Coin Risk Analysis & Trade Setup

CTO Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary

Overall Health Score: CTO has an Overall Health Score of 36 out of 100.

Rug Risk Rating: CTO has a low Rug Risk Rating. This reflects collected on-chain evidence and is not a safety guarantee.

Trade Check: CTO Trade Check decision: take. Token safety: clear. Trade Setup quality: valid. Condition to watch: Monitor deterministic safety checks and reassess if conditions change.

Trade Setup: Trade Setup status: valid. Trade levels are time-sensitive and should be re-analysed when stale.

CTO Rug-Pull Risk Analysis

• Whale and big-sized wallets account for ~90% of sell volume over the past ~23 hours, with two top holders actively trimming meaningful positions. Net token flow from the top whale cohort is deeply negative on a 1-day basis (-2.97M tokens), confirming active distribution rather than rotation noise.
• Price dropped 37% in 24 hours with sell volume outpacing buys by ~1.7× in the observed window. The 74% drawdown from the sustained-peak close means latecomers are significantly underwater, increasing capitulation risk.
• Top 20 non-pool wallets hold ~49% of supply across only 793 total holders, and the decentralisation trend is flagged as worsening. Multiple large wallets have no available history or label, making it impossible to rule out coordinated behaviour.

CTO Risk and Health Signals

• Both mint and freeze authorities are revoked, removing the risk of supply inflation or wallet-level token freezing. Token controls show no active dangerous extensions or dormant extension warnings.
• Two top-10 whale wallets (holding ~3.25% and ~2.77% of supply respectively) show neverSold=true and have held through the current drawdown — a sign of at least some sticky long-term conviction in the holder base.
• No 90% sustained-peak collapse was detected in the 31-day observed chart window. However, the token has already retraced 74% from its peak, and this assessment covers only the observable window, not all-time history.

CTO Holder Distribution

Holder concentration: The top 10 non-pool holders control 33.4% of supply.

Is CTO Safe?

• Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
• Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
• Copycat check: no match detected.
• Sellability check: a sell route was observed.
• Smart-money check: no tracked participation was observed.

CTO Trade Setup, Entry Levels and Targets

Support and resistance context: 4 support areas and 4 resistance areas were identified from 1h market candles; nearest support: 0.00011849295970757929; nearest resistance: 0.00013661247546728074; Levels derived from 754 1h candles (~31.4 days) of pool price history via swing-point clustering. Heuristic zones, not trading advice..

CTO Price and Market Data

Assessment: CTO ([redacted wallet]) is a ~31-day-old PumpSwap token trading at $0.000129 with a $112K market cap and $35K DEX liquidity. The historical price risk assessment is "clear" for the observed window, but the token has already pulled back 74% from its sustained-peak close of ~$0.000498, meaning current buyers are sitting well below the price that attracted peak demand. Sell pressure is severely dominant: over the past ~23 hours, whale and large-holder sells outpaced buys by nearly 1.7× in token volume, with 90% of sell volume coming from whale and "big" wallet sizes — two top holders (FNPf…KU1, EAxo…hQ) sold material chunks while still holding residual positions, and one distributing whale (8TxQ…yyY) cut 2M tokens in the last day alone. Holder concentration is high — the top 20 non-pool wallets control ~49% of supply across 793 holders — and the decentralisation trend is worsening, with no mapped insider clusters but several unknown large wallets showing coordinated-style holding patterns. Authorities are clean (no mint or freeze), but the combination of heavy large-wallet distribution, thin liquidity relative to market cap (~31%), a 37% 24h price drop, and a worsening decentralisation trend makes this a structurally stressed, high-risk asset at this stage.

Report limitations

• This automated snapshot can be wrong, incomplete, or become outdated as on-chain and market conditions change.
• It is informational analysis, not financial advice or a guarantee that the token is safe.