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Holdoween Meme Coin Risk Analysis & Trade Setup

Exact Solana mint: BxftAowY2dVa2h9KMqDTPk4oMxzU9k6uVbZuoorXpump

Holdoween Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary

Overall Health Score: Holdoween has an Overall Health Score of 52 out of 100.

Rug Risk Rating: Holdoween has a low Rug Risk Rating. This reflects collected on-chain evidence and is not a safety guarantee.

Holdoween Rug-Pull Risk Analysis

  • No creator wallet could be identified from on-chain data, making it impossible to assess whether the team has sold, holds a hidden cluster, or poses a rug risk. This is a structural unknown that cannot be scored away.
  • Price fell approximately 40% over the past 6 hours with 1h sell transactions (12,279) now running 2.4× buy transactions (5,057), indicating active distribution pressure in the near term.
  • On-chain data flags the decentralisation trend as worsening — top holder concentration is growing rather than dispersing, which increases future sell-pressure risk if large holders decide to exit together.

Holdoween Risk and Health Signals

  • Both mintAuthorityActive and freezeAuthorityActive are false with null authority addresses, eliminating the two most common rug-pull control vectors.
  • 9 of the top 10 tracked non-pool whales are in 'holding' status, 1 is accumulating, and 0 are distributing; approximately 67% have never sold, suggesting conviction among the largest stakeholders so far.
  • The most recent 1-hour window shows sells (12,279 txns) running 2.4× buys (5,057), and the 6-hour sell count (22,478) exceeds buys (20,213) — momentum has clearly shifted to the sell side.

Holdoween Holder Distribution

Holder concentration: The top 10 non-pool holders control 21.3% of supply.

Is Holdoween Safe?

  • Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
  • Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
  • Copycat check: no match detected.
  • Sellability check: a sell route was observed.
  • Smart-money check: no tracked participation was observed.

Holdoween Trade Setup, Entry Levels and Targets

Support and resistance context: 2 support areas and 3 resistance areas were identified from 1h market candles; nearest support: 0.001029069822149105; nearest resistance: 0.001264895459504382; Levels derived from 239 1h candles (~9.9 days) of pool price history via swing-point clustering. History is too short for repeated-touch levels; some levels are derived from volume-profile nodes and the window high/low (lower confidence, untested). Heuristic zones, not trading advice..

Holdoween Price and Market Data

Assessment: Holdoween (Holdoween) is a ~10-day-old Pump.fun/PumpSwap memecoin with a $1.07M market cap and exceptional 24h volume of $2.42M — more than 2× its market cap — indicating intense speculative interest but also high churn risk at this age. Both mint and freeze authorities are revoked, which is a structural positive. The top-20 non-pool holders control ~31.5% of supply, with the largest individual wallet holding only ~2.85%; no single wallet dominates, and 9 of the top 10 tracked whales are holding (7 of 9 with known status have never sold or show only minimal selling), suggesting a relatively sticky early holder base. However, the creator wallet is unidentifiable (null dev address), sell pressure in the most recent window is marginally net-negative and skewed toward newer wallets flipping quickly, and the decentralisation trend is flagged as worsening — top-holder concentration is growing, not shrinking.

Reason: Near-term sell dominance is accelerating sharply after a -40% 6-hour dump, the creator is unidentifiable, and all support levels are untested projections — the structural picture is mixed enough to warrant watching for stabilisation before committing capital.

Report limitations

  • This automated snapshot can be wrong, incomplete, or become outdated as on-chain and market conditions change.
  • It is informational analysis, not financial advice or a guarantee that the token is safe.

Read the MemeAssist methodology for evidence sources, scoring and known constraints.

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