TOADS Meme Coin Risk Analysis & Trade Setup

TOADS Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary

Overall Health Score: Poet Toads has an Overall Health Score of 44 out of 100.

Rug Risk Rating: Poet Toads has a low Rug Risk Rating. This reflects collected on-chain evidence and is not a safety guarantee.

TOADS Rug-Pull Risk Analysis

• Wallets holding 0.1–1% of supply account for 53–76% of sell volume across the 1H, 12H and 24H windows; this is not small-holder churn but a persistent pattern of larger participants offloading into buy flow.
• Top-100 wallets excluding pools hold 65.4% of supply, decentralisationTrend is flagged as worsening, and average whale holding duration is only ~4 days — indicating recent, potentially opportunistic accumulation rather than committed long-term holders.
• This top-20 holder shed ~810K tokens over 7 days and ~1.3M in the 12H window while retaining 1.58% of supply, constituting the most visible top-holder sell pressure and a slow-drip risk if it continues.

TOADS Risk and Health Signals

• The identified dev address (AxqXBb…Tsh) shows 0 tokens sold over 1d, 7d and 30d, and current holdings are 0% — no insider distribution is detectable from the creator wallet.
• Seven of ten tracked whales are net accumulating, net whale flow is +61.6M tokens over 7 days and +74.4M over 30 days, with only one whale (DLej…Ka) actively distributing.
• Both mintAuthorityActive and freezeAuthorityActive are false, and activeDangerousExtensions is empty — no mechanism exists for the issuer to inflate supply or freeze holder wallets.

TOADS Holder Distribution

Holder concentration: The top 10 non-pool holders control 17.7% of supply.

Is TOADS Safe?

• Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
• Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
• Copycat check: no match detected.
• Sellability check: a sell route was observed.
• Smart-money check: no tracked participation was observed.

TOADS Trade Setup, Entry Levels and Targets

Support and resistance context: 1 support area and 2 resistance areas were identified from 1h market candles; nearest support: 0.0002053247970026386; nearest resistance: 0.000429900194046317; Levels derived from 284 1h candles (~11.8 days) of pool price history via swing-point clustering. Heuristic zones, not trading advice..

TOADS Price and Market Data

Assessment: Poet Toads (TOADS) is a 12-day-old PumpSwap memecoin trading at $0.000400 (~$380K market cap) with $75.8K DEX liquidity — a modest improvement from the prior reading but occurring against a three-session health-score decline (52 → 48 → 38) that remains the dominant structural narrative. Mint and freeze authorities are fully revoked, no dangerous token extensions are active, and the dev wallet shows zero selling activity across all windows — these are genuine positives. The whale cohort has materially improved: 7 of 10 tracked whales are net accumulating, net whale flow over 7 days is strongly positive (+61.6M tokens), and the one confirmed distributing whale (DLej…Ka) sold only ~1.3M tokens in the last 12 hours while retaining 1.58% of supply. However, the 'big' wallet tier (0.1–1% of supply) continues to drive 53–76% of sell volume across every measured timeframe, and 'decentralisationTrend' remains flagged as worsening with the top-100 holding 65% of supply excluding pools. At under 12 days old the token still has no demonstrated durability, the prior three-day decline creates a meaningful hurdle for any upgrade, and the 24-hour buy/sell volume ratio (~1.19×) and positive price action (+7.6% 24h) are constructive but insufficient on their own to confirm a reversal.

Reason: Improving whale accumulation and clean authorities are offset by persistent big-wallet sell dominance across all timeframes and a three-session score decline that the current snapshot has not yet reversed.

Report limitations

• This automated snapshot can be wrong, incomplete, or become outdated as on-chain and market conditions change.
• It is informational analysis, not financial advice or a guarantee that the token is safe.