Automated risk analysis by MemeAssist.
Punch Meme Coin Risk Analysis & Trade Setup
Saved analysis: . The findings below describe evidence recorded at that time, not live market conditions.
Historical analysis snapshot. This report is more than six hours old. This snapshot is not a current buy or sell signal. Trade decisions, prices, levels and sellability may have changed. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
At a glance: パンチ (Punch) is a 209-day-old PumpSwap token trading at ~$0.000612 with a $612k market cap and $197k DEX liquidity (~32% of MC); mint and freeze authorities are inactive, which remains a genuine structural positive. The health score has been in sustained decline since early August (55 → 42 over ~3 weeks), and today's snapshot does not represent a structural reversal — the score edges down slightly as price has fallen a further ~21% since the last analysis and liquidity has thinned from $226k to $197k. Two confirmed wallet clusters persist: 62kg…Phz + AFR9…9UY (combined ~7.1% of supply, SOL-funded by the same two wallets, with the first actively accumulating +15.4M tokens over 30 days) and HLRAw…x3a + [redacted wallet] (combined ~5.2%, linked via direct token transfers, with HLRAw distributing and E2Jt having sold 3.5M tokens over 30 days). Sell pressure over the 8-day window is net-negative ($-16.5M net volume), dominated by 'big' wallet sellers (65% of sell volume), and the sole confirmed support level is a projected, untested zone ~3% below current price — no tested support exists on any timeframe.
Exact Solana mint: NV2RYH954cTJ3ckFUpvfqaQXU4ARqqDH3562nFSpump. Verify this Solana mint on Solscan.
Punch Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary
Overall Health Score: パンチ has an Overall Health Score of 40 out of 100.
Rug Risk Rating: パンチ has a low Rug Risk Rating. This reflects collected on-chain evidence and is not a safety guarantee.
Punch Rug-Pull Risk Analysis
- Two confirmed clusters hold a combined ~12.3% of supply: one linked by shared SOL funding, one by direct token transfers. At least one wallet in each cluster is distributing or has net-sold over 30 days, creating coordinated overhead supply pressure.
- Over the 8-day sell-pressure window, 'big' wallets (0.1–1% of supply) account for 65.5% of all sell volume across 60 sellers; 24h net volume is only marginally balanced (-$336k) but the 7-day net is -$12.2M, confirming structural distribution rather than random churn.
- The only identified support is a projected, zero-touch level at ~$0.000594, approximately 3% below the current price; all identified price levels above current price are resistance, leaving the token technically unanchored on the downside.
Punch Risk and Health Signals
- Both mint and freeze authorities are confirmed null and inactive, eliminating the risk of supply dilution or token freezing — a genuine structural safeguard that persists across all observations of this token.
- Four of the top-10 whale wallets are net-accumulating over 30 days, with 62kg…Phz adding +15.4M tokens over 30 days and holding for ~127 days; B63h…Gdv has never sold and has held for ~83 days, indicating some long-duration conviction holders exist.
- The identified developer wallet has sold zero tokens over 1, 7, and 30-day windows and shows no swap activity, removing the most dangerous category of sell pressure from the current picture.
Punch Holder Distribution
Holder concentration: The top 10 non-pool holders control 25.3% of supply.
Is Punch Safe?
- Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
- Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
- Copycat check: no match detected.
- Sellability check: a sell route was observed.
- Smart-money check: no tracked participation was observed.
Punch Trade Setup, Entry Levels and Targets
Support and resistance context: 1 support area and 4 resistance areas were identified from 1h market candles; nearest support: 0.0005936902454431832; nearest resistance: 0.000650826366872547; Levels derived from 1000 1h candles (~41.6 days) of pool price history via swing-point clustering. History is too short for repeated-touch levels; some levels are derived from volume-profile nodes and the window high/low (lower confidence, untested). Heuristic zones, not trading advice..
Punch Analysis Rationale
Reason: Confirmed linked wallet clusters controlling ~12% of supply are actively distributing into a three-week price decline with no tested support below current levels, making the risk/reward unattractive for all but high-risk participants.
Report limitations
- This automated snapshot can be wrong, incomplete, or become outdated as on-chain and market conditions change.
- It is informational analysis, not financial advice or a guarantee that the token is safe.
Read the MemeAssist methodology for evidence sources, scoring and known constraints.
Punch Risk Analysis Questions
Which Solana token does this Punch report analyse?
パンチ (Punch) is identified by Solana mint NV2RYH954cTJ3ckFUpvfqaQXU4ARqqDH3562nFSpump. Names and symbols can be reused by unrelated tokens; verify the mint address before trading. These are saved analysis observations dated 2026-09-02T08:26:40.498Z, not live market conditions. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
What is the AI health score for パンチ (Punch)?
The AI health score for Punch is 40/100. This automated score is computed by analyzing on-chain behavior, holder distribution, and liquidity. These are saved analysis observations dated 2026-09-02T08:26:40.498Z, not live market conditions. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
What is the automated rug risk level for パンチ (Punch)?
Based on automated on-chain risk checks, Punch has a rug risk level of 'low'. Always exercise extreme caution and do not treat this as financial advice. These are saved analysis observations dated 2026-09-02T08:26:40.498Z, not live market conditions. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
What is the AI trading verdict for パンチ (Punch)?
The automated AI verdict for Punch is 'neutral'. This indicates the overall on-chain sentiment based on liquidity, whale activity, and smart contract safety. These are saved analysis observations dated 2026-09-02T08:26:40.498Z, not live market conditions. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
How much liquidity does パンチ (Punch) have?
The liquidity recorded in the saved analysis for Punch was $197,368. These are saved analysis observations dated 2026-09-02T08:26:40.498Z, not live market conditions. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
Are the mint and freeze authorities active for パンチ (Punch)?
For Punch, the mint authority is revoked and the freeze authority is revoked. These are saved analysis observations dated 2026-09-02T08:26:40.498Z, not live market conditions. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
What is the top-10 holder concentration for パンチ (Punch)?
The top 10 holders control 25.3% of the total supply of Punch. These are saved analysis observations dated 2026-09-02T08:26:40.498Z, not live market conditions. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
Is パンチ (Punch) currently sellable?
Yes, automated checks indicate a sell route exists for Punch at this time. These are saved analysis observations dated 2026-09-02T08:26:40.498Z, not live market conditions. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
When was the AI analysis for パンチ (Punch) last updated?
The on-chain analysis for Punch was last updated on 02/09/2026, 08:26:40 GMT. These are saved analysis observations dated 2026-09-02T08:26:40.498Z, not live market conditions. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
Analyzed: