MemeAssist

Smokey Bear (Smokey) Risk Analysis & Trade Setup

Saved analysis ·

Overall Health Score: Smokey Bear received an Overall Health Score of 30 out of 100.

Rug Risk Rating: Smokey Bear received a Low Rug Risk Rating.

Solana mint: CMjdAEAPmnAiqjpLsPq3eoNmSZMfZwMktwL8mom6pump

Stale: analysed 60 days ago. Scores may be out of date. Re-analyse before trading.

Saved analysis, not live, re-analyse before trading.

No verdict

Health Score
30/100
Rug risk
7/100 · Low

    Flags

    Ranked flags unavailable.

    Trade setup

    No reliable setup.

    Read the saved analysis

    Automated risk analysis by MemeAssist.

    Historical analysis snapshot.

    At a glance: Smokey Bear (Smokey) is a ~31-day-old PumpSwap micro-cap with a market cap and liquidity that are nearly identical at ~$7.9k and ~$7.8k respectively — meaning essentially all circulating supply sits in the pool and exit feasibility for any meaningful position is near-zero. Mint and freeze authorities are revoked, removing token-control risk, and the 17 whale wallets (31% of supply outside the pool) are unanimously holding or accumulating with zero distribution over 24h. However, the 7-day sell-pressure picture is alarming: sell volume ($378.9M token-units) outpaces buy volume ($231.4M) by ~1.64×, with whale-tier wallets driving 76% of that sell flow, indicating that prior large holders have been rotating out steadily. Daily transaction count is razor-thin (4 buys / 8 sells in 24h), 24h volume is only $208, and the decentralisation trend is flagged as worsening — this token is effectively in a liquidity desert with negligible real trading activity and high structural fragility.

    Exact Solana mint: CMjdAEAPmnAiqjpLsPq3eoNmSZMfZwMktwL8mom6pump. Verify this Solana mint on Solscan.

    Smokey Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary

    Overall Health Score: Smokey Bear received an Overall Health Score of 30 out of 100.

    Rug Risk Rating: Smokey Bear received a Low Rug Risk Rating.

    What changed between saved analyses?

    No earlier completed analysis is available for comparison.

    Smokey Rug-Pull Risk Analysis

    • Total DEX liquidity is ~$7.8k against a ~$7.9k market cap, meaning any sale beyond a trivial amount will crater the price; this token is effectively untradeable at any meaningful size.
    • Wallets holding more than 1% of supply contributed 76% (~289M token-units) of all sell volume in the past 7 days, with net outflow of ~147M token-units — a persistent distribution pattern, not noise.
    • 24-hour volume is only $208 across 12 transactions; at this depth, price discovery is unreliable and any buy or sell order of consequence constitutes the entire market.

    Smokey Risk and Health Signals

    • Smart-money signal: no tracked participation was observed.
    • Both authorities are null and inactive, eliminating supply-inflation and asset-freeze risk — a genuine structural positive regardless of other concerns.
    • All 10 tracked whale wallets show zero net change over 24h, and the cohort holding average is ~17 days — suggesting remaining large holders are not actively distributing right now.
    • Wallet 5E8MEb…iKT entered 5 days ago, has never sold, and added its full position within the last 7 days — a modest but genuine conviction; this does not establish the wallet holder's motives or conviction.

    Smokey Holder Distribution

    Holder concentration: At the saved analysis, the top 10 non-pool holders held 22.02% of supply.

    Is Smokey Safe?

    • Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
    • Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
    • Copycat check: no match detected.
    • Sellability check: a sell route was observed.

    Smokey Trade Setup, Entry Levels, Targets and Invalidation

    Support and resistance context: 1 support area and 4 resistance areas were identified from 1h market candles; nearest support: 0.000008135837500862275; nearest resistance: 0.00001283074389934298; Levels derived from 741 1h candles (~31.0 days) of pool price history via swing-point clustering. Heuristic zones, not trading advice.

    Smokey Risk Analysis Questions

    Which Solana token does this Smokey report analyse?

    Smokey Bear (Smokey) is identified by Solana mint CMjdAEAPmnAiqjpLsPq3eoNmSZMfZwMktwL8mom6pump; names and symbols can be reused by unrelated tokens.

    What is the AI health score for Smokey Bear (Smokey)?

    The saved analysis recorded an AI health score of 30/100 for Smokey, based on on-chain behaviour, holder distribution and liquidity at that time.

    What is the automated rug risk level for Smokey Bear (Smokey)?

    The on-chain checks rated rug risk for Smokey as 'Low'.

    What is the entry assessment for Smokey Bear (Smokey)?

    An entry assessment for Smokey was not established in this saved analysis.

    How much liquidity does Smokey Bear (Smokey) have?

    The liquidity recorded in the saved analysis for Smokey was $7,818.

    Are the mint and freeze authorities active for Smokey Bear (Smokey)?

    At the saved check for Smokey, the mint authority was revoked and the freeze authority was revoked.

    What is the top-10 holder concentration for Smokey Bear (Smokey)?

    At the saved check, the top 10 holders held 22.02% of the total supply of Smokey.

    Was a sell route found for Smokey Bear (Smokey) in the saved analysis?

    A sell route was observed for Smokey.

    When was the AI analysis for Smokey Bear (Smokey) last updated?

    The on-chain analysis for Smokey was last updated on 05/09/2026, 19:09:49 GMT.

    Methodology & limitations

    Health and rug risk are separate evidence ratings; unknown checks are not passes and projected levels are untested.

    Saved analysis, not live, re-analyse before trading.

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