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STABLE Meme Coin Risk Analysis & Trade Setup
Saved analysis: . The findings below describe evidence recorded at that time, not live market conditions.
Historical analysis snapshot. This report is more than six hours old. This snapshot is not a current buy or sell signal. Trade decisions, prices, levels and sellability may have changed. Re-analyse before making a current trading decision.
Exact Solana mint: 4AjvPXMn8YZG9saAVJvcWspg73oTFf2JmU4in4Xgpump
STABLE Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary
Overall Health Score: STABLE has an Overall Health Score of 28 out of 100.
Rug Risk Rating: STABLE has a moderate Rug Risk Rating. This reflects collected on-chain evidence and is not a safety guarantee.
STABLE Rug-Pull Risk Analysis
- The dev wallet ([redacted wallet], ~2% of supply) sold 10M tokens in the last 7 days and is classified as still selling with none sold in the last 24h — the pace has slowed but the pattern is not resolved. Dev selling is the highest-quality negative signal regardless of volume.
- 5 of 10 tracked whale wallets are actively distributing, and whale/big-wallet sellers account for ~84% of total sell volume by value over the full window (~$469M token-units). Net whale flow is –200K tokens over 1 day and the 7-day figure, while nominally positive, is driven by a cluster that includes a known distributing member.
- Wallets [redacted wallet] and [redacted wallet] share SOL funding sources and together hold ~9.6% of supply; [redacted wallet] is actively distributing (–520K tokens in 1 day, –370K over 7 days). Coordinated funding with divergent behaviour is a structural risk, not a neutral observation.
STABLE Risk and Health Signals
- Both mint and freeze authorities are null and inactive — no active dangerous extensions are present. This removes the risk of supply dilution or wallet freezing by a controller.
- Wallet [redacted wallet] (5.65% of supply) has been accumulating since March 2026 (~161 days) and added ~13.2M tokens over 30 days — this is the only whale with a genuinely long track record of adding, though its cluster link to a distributing wallet tempers confidence.
- In the 1h window, buys (44) slightly exceed sells (32) by transaction count, and the 24h window is also near parity (1,666 buys vs 1,574 sells). However, volume is net negative in every window, meaning sellers are moving larger amounts per trade — retail accumulation is not offsetting whale distribution.
STABLE Holder Distribution
Holder concentration: The top 10 non-pool holders control 33.4% of supply.
Is STABLE Safe?
- Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
- Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
- Copycat check: no match detected.
- Sellability check: a sell route was observed.
- Smart-money check: no tracked participation was observed.
STABLE Trade Setup, Entry Levels and Targets
Support and resistance context: 4 support areas and 4 resistance areas were identified from 1h market candles; nearest support: 0.00038731806589058226; nearest resistance: 0.0004568261131307581; Levels derived from 1000 1h candles (~45.5 days) of pool price history via swing-point clustering. Heuristic zones, not trading advice..
STABLE Price and Market Data
Assessment: STABLE is a 206-day-old Solana memecoin at $0.000451 (~$451K market cap) with both mint and freeze authorities fully renounced — no active token controls of concern. The health score trajectory (42 → 44 → 33 → current) has been on a sustained downward path, and the current snapshot shows no meaningful reversal: the dev wallet ([redacted wallet]) has sold 10M tokens over the last 7 days and remains classified as actively selling, while 5 of 10 tracked whale wallets are distributing and net whale flow over 24h is negative. A confirmed two-wallet cluster ([redacted wallet] / [redacted wallet], ~9.6% combined supply) has one arm distributing and the other accumulating, which is ambiguous but structurally concerning. Whale and big-wallet sellers account for over 84% of sell volume by value across all windows, price has declined 47% in 24h, the decentralisation trend is flagged as worsening, and buy/sell volume is net negative across every measured window — this is a token in active, broad-based distribution with no clear stabilisation signal.
Reason: Active dev selling, five distributing whale wallets, a confirmed insider-linked cluster with one arm distributing, and net-negative volume across every window make the current structure overwhelmingly sell-dominant, with only renounced authorities and one long-duration accumulator as partial offsets
Report limitations
- This automated snapshot can be wrong, incomplete, or become outdated as on-chain and market conditions change.
- It is informational analysis, not financial advice or a guarantee that the token is safe.
Read the MemeAssist methodology for evidence sources, scoring and known constraints.
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