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MCAT Meme Coin Risk Analysis & Trade Setup
MCAT Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary
Overall Health Score: Mooncat has an Overall Health Score of 30 out of 100.
Rug Risk Rating: Mooncat has a moderate Rug Risk Rating. This reflects collected on-chain evidence and is not a safety guarantee.
MCAT Rug-Pull Risk Analysis
- On-chain transfer evidence links five wallets — including the largest holder at ~18.4% — into a coordinated cluster with a combined ~25.7% supply share. This is the single largest structural red flag: coordinated early holders can exit in concert without visible advance warning.
- The single largest non-pool wallet controls ~18.4% of supply, and the top 10 wallets collectively hold ~35.5%. At this age there is no track record of durability — concentration of this magnitude in a brand-new token is a meaningful exit-liquidity risk.
- Whale-size wallets (>1% of supply) generated 32.1% and 'big' wallets (0.1–1%) generated 57.6% of total sell volume in the last 7-hour window, with net sell flow of ~$13M. Price has fallen ~49% in 24h and ~32% in 6h, consistent with ongoing distribution from large holders.
MCAT Risk and Health Signals
- Both mint and freeze authorities are inactive with null addresses, meaning the supply cannot be inflated and wallets cannot be frozen. This removes two of the most common smart-contract-level rug vectors for a token this young.
- The token is turning over more than 1.5× its entire market cap in 24-hour volume ($209K vs $131K), indicating high market engagement. Volume at this level on a fresh DEX pair is a historically meaningful filter for tokens that generate price discovery rather than fading immediately.
- Over the last hour, buys (126) modestly outnumber sells (96), and over 24h buys (1,519) exceed sells (1,327). However, volume-weighting reveals net sell pressure is dominated by large wallets, so the trade-count ratio overstates retail buying enthusiasm.
MCAT Holder Distribution
Holder concentration: The top 10 non-pool holders control 35.5% of supply.
Is MCAT Safe?
- Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
- Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
- Copycat check: no match detected.
- Sellability check: a sell route was observed.
- Smart-money check: no tracked participation was observed.
MCAT Trade Setup, Entry Levels and Targets
Support and resistance context: 1 support area and 4 resistance areas were identified from 1h market candles; nearest support: 0.00011285490744383435; nearest resistance: 0.000137865; Levels derived from 91 1h candles (~3.8 days) of pool price history via swing-point clustering. History is too short for repeated-touch levels; some levels are derived from volume-profile nodes and the window high/low (lower confidence, untested). Heuristic zones, not trading advice. Chart history could not yet support tested swing levels. The token is only about 3.8 days old. These lower-confidence planning levels are projected mechanically from the observed market price and must be rechecked as price history develops..
MCAT Price and Market Data
Assessment: MCAT (Mooncat) is a 3.8-day-old Solana memecoin on Meteora with a $131K market cap, $48.5K DEX liquidity, and strong 24h volume of ~$209K — above the threshold where fresh-pair volume tends to be meaningful. Mint and freeze authorities are revoked, removing the most acute structural control risks. However, the largest unlabelled holder controls ~18.4% of supply and an on-chain cluster links five whale wallets — including the top holder — through direct token transfers, collectively holding ~25.7% of supply; this concentration is the dominant risk given the token's extreme youth. The decentralisation trend is worsening, seven of ten tracked whales are actively accumulating rather than holding steady, and the past ~7 hours show net sell volume of ~$13M, with whale-size wallets accounting for 32% of sell volume and "big" wallets a further 58% — indicating significant sell pressure is coming from large, not small, participants. With sell-dominated price action (−48.9% over 24h, −31.5% over 6h), a worsening holder structure, and a highly concentrated, partially clustered supply, this token carries high structural risk appropriate for only the most risk-tolerant participants, and its track record is far too short to judge durability.
Reason: A confirmed five-wallet cluster controls ~25.7% of supply and whale-size wallets are generating ~90% of sell volume during a 49% 24h price collapse, making participation structurally dangerous at current price trajectory despite the revoked authorities and above-$200K volume.
Analyzed: