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Uptober Meme Coin Risk Analysis & Trade Setup

Exact Solana mint: 6tvUg9RWrYG37Tb7fVtMmHjRGRiXiGCk5svDdJUkSgBR

Uptober Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary

Overall Health Score: Uptober has an Overall Health Score of 39 out of 100.

Rug Risk Rating: Uptober has a high Rug Risk Rating. This reflects collected on-chain evidence and is not a safety guarantee.

Trade Check: Uptober Trade Check decision: avoid. Token safety: dangerous. Trade Setup quality: weak. Condition to watch: Reconsider only after deterministic danger clears.

Trade Setup: Trade Setup status: weak. Trade levels are time-sensitive and should be re-analysed when stale.

Uptober Rug-Pull Risk Analysis

  • The token is under 30 minutes old (≈0.02 days), meaning all holder behaviour, price levels, and sell-pressure signals reflect only launch dynamics. No durability can be inferred; all positive signals should be discounted heavily.
  • Whale-sized wallets (>1% of supply) account for ~61% of sell volume in the observed window, with 11 whale sellers active; one current top-10 holder ([redacted wallet]) partially exited, and multiple wallets fully exited within minutes of launch — a pattern consistent with early flippers, not conviction holders.
  • Liquidity of ~$20K on PumpSwap means any meaningful position will face slippage on exit; this level has historically co-occurred with outsized losses in comparable micro-cap launches. Volume of $60.5K over 24h is below the empirical threshold associated with sustained trend moves.

Uptober Risk and Health Signals

  • Both mint and freeze authorities are null and inactive, eliminating the risk of supply inflation or wallet freezing — a clean structural baseline for a token this young.
  • No coordinated wallet clusters were identified by on-chain transfer analysis, and no dev wallet could be linked to active selling; slow-rug risk is flagged as low by the heuristic.
  • In the observed window, 301 buy transactions vs 235 sell transactions (BSR ~1.28) and 163 unique buyers vs 137 unique sellers suggest net retail demand pressure, though whale sell volume partially offsets this.

Uptober Holder Distribution

Holder concentration: The top 10 non-pool holders control 24.9% of supply.

Is Uptober Safe?

  • Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
  • Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
  • Copycat check: a possible match was detected.
  • Sellability check: a sell route was observed.
  • Smart-money check: no tracked participation was observed.

Uptober Trade Setup, Entry Levels and Targets

Support and resistance context: 2 support areas and 4 resistance areas were identified from 1m market candles; nearest support: 0.00004005234101071225; nearest resistance: 0.00006060600000000001; Levels derived from 31 1m candles (~1 hours) of pool price history via swing-point clustering. Heuristic zones, not trading advice. Chart history could not yet support tested swing levels. The token is only about 0.0 days old. These lower-confidence planning levels are projected mechanically from the observed market price and must be rechecked as price history develops..

Uptober Price and Market Data

Assessment: Uptober ([redacted wallet]) is an ultra-fresh PumpSwap token that launched less than 30 minutes ago, making any long-term durability assessment impossible — this report reflects a pure snapshot with minimal track record. At ~$57.7K market cap, liquidity of ~$20K is workable but tight (≈35% of market cap), and with 24h volume of $60.5K the token is below the empirical floor that has separated durable trend winners from fades. Mint and freeze authorities are both revoked, which is a clean structural baseline. Holder concentration is high but distributed across many wallets — the top 20 non-pool holders hold ~40% of supply, with no single non-pool wallet above 3%; no identified dev wallet exists, no wallet clusters were detected, and no slow-rug signals were flagged. However, whale sell pressure is immediately visible: 11 whale-sized sellers accounted for ~61% of sell volume in the first ~25 minutes, with one current top-holder ([redacted wallet]) already selling ~24.7M tokens while retaining a ~2.5% stake; several wallets fully exited within hours of launch. The decentralisation trend is flagged as worsening, average whale holding age is under 0.04 days, and the sell window shows a modest net negative flow — all consistent with typical early churn but worth monitoring closely before committing capital.

Report limitations

  • This automated snapshot can be wrong, incomplete, or become outdated as on-chain and market conditions change.
  • It is informational analysis, not financial advice or a guarantee that the token is safe.

Read the MemeAssist methodology for evidence sources, scoring and known constraints.

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