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CMC Meme Coin Risk Analysis & Trade Setup

Exact Solana mint: r5r3EVBTXkBxJDJPNKGqprty2NGjP63MoS61JFipump

CMC Risk Analysis and Trade Setup Summary

Overall Health Score: CoinMarketCat has an Overall Health Score of 28 out of 100.

Rug Risk Rating: CoinMarketCat has a low Rug Risk Rating. This reflects collected on-chain evidence and is not a safety guarantee.

CMC Rug-Pull Risk Analysis

  • All 18 whale wallets (each holding >1% of supply) were first seen within a 4-minute window at launch. This timing pattern is consistent with bundled or coordinated buying, which is a classic precursor to coordinated selling, though formal cluster linkage is not confirmed in the data.
  • Whale and big-wallet sellers account for ~84.6% of sell volume in the observable window, with several wallets having fully exited already. Two top-holder whales are actively selling while retaining large remaining positions.
  • DEX liquidity of ~$18.4K against a $49.9K market cap means even modest whale exits (top 2 non-pool holders hold ~7%) would move price sharply and face severe slippage on the way out.

CMC Risk and Health Signals

  • Both mint and freeze authorities are confirmed null and inactive, meaning no additional supply can be minted and no wallet can be frozen — one meaningful structural risk is off the table.
  • A holder count of 546 in the first minutes of trading suggests genuine distribution activity and not a single-wallet launch, though many of these may be short-term traders rather than committed holders.
  • All whale change figures equal their entire current balance, meaning 'accumulating' simply reflects the initial buy — it cannot be distinguished from a bundled entry, and no whale has a track record of holding.

CMC Holder Distribution

Holder concentration: The top 10 non-pool holders control 23.5% of supply.

Is CMC Safe?

  • Creator risk check: no blacklist match found.
  • Wash-trading check: no suspicious activity detected.
  • Copycat check: no match detected.
  • Sellability check: a sell route was observed.
  • Smart-money check: no tracked participation was observed.

CMC Trade Setup, Entry Levels and Targets

Support and resistance context: 2 support areas and 4 resistance areas were identified from provisional market candles; nearest support: 0.0000479136; nearest resistance: 0.000052405500000000005; Chart history could not yet support tested swing levels. The token is only about 0.0 days old. These lower-confidence planning levels are projected mechanically from the observed market price and must be rechecked as price history develops..

CMC Price and Market Data

Assessment: CoinMarketCat (CMC) launched mere minutes ago on PumpSwap — token age is approximately 0.0005 days, making it impossible to assess any long-term durability or trend. Mint and freeze authorities are both revoked, which removes one structural risk, but all other data must be interpreted through the lens of an effectively zero-history asset. Top-10 concentration excluding the pool sits at ~23.5% across 18 whale wallets, with the single largest non-pool holder holding 3.85%; however, all whale wallets were first seen within the same ~4-minute window around launch, which is consistent with coordinated/bundled buying — no clustering is formally confirmed in the data, but the timing is a notable warning sign. Sell pressure in the brief observation window (~36 seconds of data) shows large and whale-sized wallets accounting for ~85% of sell volume, with several small wallets fully exiting; net volume is negative (-27M tokens), meaning sellers outweighed buyers by token count even as buy trade count (140) exceeded sell count (107). Liquidity is $18.4K against a $49.9K market cap — a thin DEX pool that provides limited exit capacity for the concentrated whale positions. At a 24h volume of ~$10.3K — well below empirical thresholds where fresh-pair trends have historically sustained — and with no price history beyond a flat +1.07% across all windows (likely a data artifact of the token's age), this token carries extreme structural uncertainty and should be treated as highly speculative.

Reason: The token launched minutes ago with all whale wallets entering in a coordinated timing window, large-wallet sellers already dominating sell volume, thin liquidity relative to concentrated supply, and zero price history — structural risk dominates every positive signal present.

Report limitations

  • This automated snapshot can be wrong, incomplete, or become outdated as on-chain and market conditions change.
  • It is informational analysis, not financial advice or a guarantee that the token is safe.

Read the MemeAssist methodology for evidence sources, scoring and known constraints.

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